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  1. Kevin
    January 17, 2011 - 6:33 am

    Thanks for this great post Tony.
    I’m been a reader of your blog for a couple of years and really find your postings very insightful. As I read through this list, it pretty much verified from my perspective (a recent grad in Instructional Design) so much of what I’ve been studying.

    Keep on writing and I’ll keep on reading!

  2. [...] Bates no seu blog, faz a sua previsão para o e-Learning em 2011. Alguns dos pontos abordados centram-se no redesenho [...]

  3. Mary
    January 24, 2011 - 10:13 am

    Your predictions are right on target, Tony. Excellent post.

  4. Roland Studer
    January 28, 2011 - 2:09 am

    You write: The Future is mobile, and you mention, how barriers between leisure and study time are breaking down. I see the same thing, but I’m asking myself whether this is a good thing. We all know about information overload and how we all are proud multitaskers, I think students are subjected to more and more choice and information, but we’re not necessarily helping students how to actually learn. Jumping from platform to platform, from content to content, one quickly looses focus, not separating leisure and learning time, can make it had to actually relax during the weekend and the evenings, and it makes it hard to focus during learning time. Anything, anytime, anywhere: these are the great possibilities, but I don’t think it should we should learn anything, anytime, anywhere without actually thinking, where we do what and when. What are the goals, where can I really learn and focus…
    I just want to say, that the possibilities often invite to jump between different platforms and different content. And can we or the students handle this challenge, do we have a plan, do we know what goal we want to achieve.?

    • Tony Bates
      January 29, 2011 - 3:29 pm

      Great comment, Roland.

      I think the answer here is in the overall design of the teaching/program. Student workload is a critical factor now in course design. There has always been no ‘limit’ to how much students can study, but part of good course or program design is to ensure coherence within reasonable time boundaries. Moving to mobile adds another critical variable to the design equation, ensuring that all the modalities of study fit together, do not unduly duplicate one another, or lead to confusion. I’m afraid few programs currently take this into consideration, especially when just adding technology to the classroom.

  5. [...] by Sylvia Moessinger on January 30, 2011 I found this post entry from Tony Bates about e-learning outlook for 2011 pretty interesting and think it relates pretty good to H807, as he talks about innovations and [...]

  6. Nadia Mireles
    February 1, 2011 - 8:17 am

    Dear. Dr Bates,

    Thanks for your Outlook 2011.

    I graduated from the Master of Distance Education by the U. of Guadalajara and U. of Catalunya 6 years ago and currently doctoral online student at the U. of Calgary.

    You comment that there hopefully we will see more innovations in the teaching practices and more use of the web 2-0 tools. On other hand, you also comment there is a great need of training, loosing fear and put this trends in practice. I am surprised that so many years have passed and teachers are still working in the cognitive approach, and some from a constructionist one. I see hard times coming asking now teachers to turn to the new, each-time-more-spread, connectivist approach.

    Can you give some applied examples or case studies were the mobile learning, informal learning and use of OER its been applied? Specifically, do you know if organizations that are not HEIs are working on this?

    Thanks
    Nadia

  7. Jenni Hayman
    February 2, 2011 - 7:42 am

    Hi Tony,

    I just stumbled across my printout from your 2010 predictions and laughed out loud at the <1% probability that a formal professional development requirement for online instructors would be instituted. I am an Instructional Designer and from my anecdotal vantage point, this is the most serious crisis in fully online higher education. There are competencies that must be addressed as hiring and evaluation criteria. With ever-changing and more amazing pedagogic and technological approaches such as connectivism (Siemens 2008) and networked collaborative learning (Trentin 2010) opening doors to student-driven discovery and content generation, online instructors need skills to translate their exceptional discipline expertise to true mentoring in online courses. I hope that those true experts engaging in online instruction will see the incredible value of certificates and diplomas in online teaching that help them find the skills to guide networked learners with context and validity toward brilliance in their fields. Finishing up my Masters in DE at Athabasca and probably moving on to an PhEd so I can be part of the solution.

    As an aside, Massey University in New Zealand has an exceptionally well-conceived instructor support site at http://stream4staff.massey.ac.nz/
    Including a "Student Workload Calculator" in the Instructor Tools kit. I will be adapting it to help guide our online course developers in their considerations.

    Here's to 2011!
    Jenni

    • Tony Bates
      February 2, 2011 - 8:07 pm

      Thanks, Jenni, for a great comment. Met George Siemens (ironically, face-to-face in a pub) and the whole Athabasca MDE team (nearly all at a distance) last week in Edmonton.

  8. Blackboard gets into data analytics
    February 9, 2011 - 2:57 pm

    [...] e-learning outlook for 2011 [...]

  9. [...] wie Microblogging, Mobile Learning, Open Educational Ressources, Learner Generated Content (vgl. Tony Bates). Daraus folgt ein Trend für 2011: Transparenz. Und zwar nicht nur, weil Wikileaks und der Umgang [...]

  10. [...] aus meiner Sicht konzise und durchdachte Trendschau dazu findet sich im ausführlichen Bericht von  Tony Bates.  Seine Kategorien [...]

  11. [...] Sie einen Kommentar Tweet Die Arbeitswelt verändert sich. Die Menschheit fägt sich, ob Social Software, Social Media, Social Networking oder Web [...]

  12. E-Learning
    April 5, 2011 - 9:08 am

    [...] e-Learning Outlook for 2011 [...]

  13. [...] of mobile devices. They are valuable for quick access to small chunks of information, e.g. contacts and procedures at an emergency scene. It was important to look at mobile devices’ value for two-way, instant, and media rich [...]

  14. [...] Bates – eLearning Outlook for 2011 1. Course [...]

  15. [...] general trends are not going to change much from 2011 (which I identified as course redesign, mobile learning, more multimedia, learning analytics,and shared services), but [...]

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